Accawise

    Football Fixture Insights

    Every match Accawise has included in a published accumulator, with the original analysis. Upcoming fixtures only appear once Accawise has published a selection on them.

    Historical Insights

    Liverpool vs Chelsea

    League Cup · Kick-off Wed, 28 Oct 2026, 20:00 GMT

    Chelsea to Win · 2.63 · est. EV -1.9% Lost

    Liverpool to Win · 2.60 Lost

    Chelsea’s away scoring rate of 1.5 suggests they can penetrate a Liverpool defense that concedes 1.67 at home. They offer the best h2h value in this fixture at…

    Published Sun, 25 Oct 2026, 13:01 GMT · prices as recorded then

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    Fulham vs Crystal Palace

    League Cup · Kick-off Wed, 28 Oct 2026, 19:45 GMT

    Fulham to Win · 1.91 · est. EV -4.5% Lost

    Fulham (13th) is in better league form than Palace (16th) and benefits from home turf. Palace's away defense is leaking 2.25 goals per match.

    Published Sun, 25 Oct 2026, 13:01 GMT · prices as recorded then

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    Genoa vs Juventus

    Serie A · Kick-off Wed, 28 Oct 2026, 19:45 GMT

    Under 3.5 Goals · 1.28 · est. EV +11.9% Won

    Juventus to Win · 1.75 Lost

    Juventus matches average very few goals and Genoa's home scoring is just 1.0 per game. The 11.9% EV is too high to ignore for this market.

    Published Sun, 25 Oct 2026, 13:01 GMT · prices as recorded then

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    Monza vs Napoli

    Serie A · Kick-off Wed, 28 Oct 2026, 19:45 GMT

    Napoli to Win · 1.75 · est. EV -4.7% Won

    Monza concedes 2.25 goals per game overall, which Napoli's attack (1.63 GF) is well-equipped to exploit. Napoli has won 2 of their last 3 matches.

    Published Sun, 25 Oct 2026, 13:01 GMT · prices as recorded then

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    Venezia vs Inter

    Serie A · Kick-off Wed, 28 Oct 2026, 17:30 GMT

    Over 0.5 Goals · 1.45 · est. EV +6.9% Won

    Under 4.5 Goals · 1.44 Won

    Under 5.5 Goals · 1.20 Won

    Inter averages a high 3 goals per game, making at least one goal in this match extremely likely. This is a safe leg with a positive 6.9% expected value.

    Published Sun, 25 Oct 2026, 13:01 GMT · prices as recorded then

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    AC Milan vs Bologna

    Serie A · Kick-off Wed, 28 Oct 2026, 17:30 GMT

    AC Milan to Win · 1.70 · est. EV -1.7% Lost

    AC Milan is scoring 2.0 goals per game and facing a Bologna side that has lost its most recent away fixture. The home win is well-supported by Milan's 2.67 home…

    Published Sun, 25 Oct 2026, 13:01 GMT · prices as recorded then

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    Parma vs Udinese

    Serie A · Kick-off Wed, 28 Oct 2026, 17:30 GMT

    Udinese to Win · 2.55 · est. EV -1.8% Lost

    Under 3.5 Goals · 1.25 Won

    Parma to Win · 3.10 Lost

    Parma is in terrible form with four losses in five, scoring only 0.63 goals per game. Udinese's away scoring of 2.33 gives them the edge at a 2.55 price.

    Published Sun, 25 Oct 2026, 13:01 GMT · prices as recorded then

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    Barcelona vs Real Madrid

    La Liga · Kick-off Sun, 25 Oct 2026, 20:00 GMT

    Under 5.5 Goals · 1.36 · est. EV +6.6% Won

    Even in El Clasico, 6 goals is a high bar; Real Madrid are missing key attackers Vinicius and Rodrygo. This offers a 6.6% EV.

    Published Sat, 24 Oct 2026, 12:30 BST · prices as recorded then

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    Udinese vs AC Milan

    Serie A · Kick-off Sun, 25 Oct 2026, 19:45 GMT

    Under 3.5 Goals · 1.36 · est. EV +13.4% Won

    Udinese has lost 5 straight and struggled to score at home (0.5 GF), while Milan is solid defensively. This pick carries a 13.4% EV.

    Published Sat, 24 Oct 2026, 12:30 BST · prices as recorded then

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    Lecce vs Juventus

    Serie A · Kick-off Sun, 25 Oct 2026, 17:00 GMT

    Under 3.5 Goals · 1.36 · est. EV +12.3% Won

    Both Lecce and Juventus average only 1.29 goals scored per game. The market offers a massive 12.3% EV for Under 3.5 goals here.

    Published Sat, 24 Oct 2026, 12:30 BST · prices as recorded then

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    Sunderland vs Leeds

    Premier League · Kick-off Sun, 25 Oct 2026, 16:30 GMT

    Under 3.5 Goals · 1.28 · est. EV +5.4% Won

    Sunderland to Win · 3.00 Lost

    Sunderland is bottom of the league and scoring only 0.33 at home, while Leeds has a sturdy defense conceding only 0.86 per game. This is safe value at 5.4% EV.

    Published Sat, 24 Oct 2026, 12:30 BST · prices as recorded then

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    Freiburg vs Bayern Munich

    Bundesliga · Kick-off Sun, 25 Oct 2026, 16:30 GMT

    Over 0.5 Goals · 1.33 · est. EV +5.1% Won

    Bayern Munich's offensive output ensures goals in almost every fixture. This 5.1% EV is a reliable anchor for the accumulator.

    Published Sat, 24 Oct 2026, 12:30 BST · prices as recorded then

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    Rennes vs Strasbourg

    Ligue 1 · Kick-off Sun, 25 Oct 2026, 16:15 GMT

    Over 0.5 Goals · 1.28 · est. EV +12.4% Won

    Under 4.5 Goals · 1.30 Won

    Rennes averages 2.5 goals at home while Strasbourg concedes 2.5 away. A 12.4% EV for a single goal is statistically very strong.

    Published Sat, 24 Oct 2026, 12:30 BST · prices as recorded then

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    Angers vs Lorient

    Ligue 1 · Kick-off Sun, 25 Oct 2026, 16:15 GMT

    Lorient to Win · 2.45 · est. EV -3.6% Lost

    Lorient has won 3 of their last 5 and faces an Angers side that has lost 3 of their last 5. Lorient's defensive record (0.86 GA) is superior.

    Published Sat, 24 Oct 2026, 12:30 BST · prices as recorded then

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    Marseille vs Le Havre

    Ligue 1 · Kick-off Sun, 25 Oct 2026, 16:15 GMT

    Marseille to Win · 1.57 · est. EV -4.9% Won

    Marseille averages 2.33 goals at home and faces bottom-of-the-table Le Havre, who have lost 4 of their last 5 matches.

    Published Sat, 24 Oct 2026, 12:30 BST · prices as recorded then

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    Toulouse vs Troyes

    Ligue 1 · Kick-off Sun, 25 Oct 2026, 16:15 GMT

    Toulouse to Win · 1.62 · est. EV -4.6% Lost

    Toulouse has been steady with only one loss in their last five games. They are favored at home against a team without recent stats provided.

    Published Sat, 24 Oct 2026, 12:30 BST · prices as recorded then

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    Celta Vigo vs Betis

    La Liga · Kick-off Sun, 25 Oct 2026, 15:15 GMT

    Under 3.5 Goals · 1.40 · est. EV +6.3% Won

    Celta Vigo has a very strong defensive record at home (0.78 GA overall). This match has a high probability of staying under the 3.5 line with 6.3% EV.

    Published Sat, 24 Oct 2026, 12:30 BST · prices as recorded then

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    Manchester Utd vs Bournemouth

    Premier League · Kick-off Sun, 25 Oct 2026, 14:00 GMT

    Over 0.5 Goals · 1.28 · est. EV +11.6% Won

    Both Teams to Score - No · 2.63 Won

    Bournemouth have conceded 3 goals per game away, supporting a high likelihood of at least one goal in this fixture. The 11.6% EV is the highest available for…

    Published Sat, 24 Oct 2026, 12:30 BST · prices as recorded then

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    Hull vs Brentford

    Premier League · Kick-off Sun, 25 Oct 2026, 14:00 GMT

    Brentford to Win · 1.73 · est. EV -3.5% Lost

    Priced at 1.73 with Bet365, above the market's fair value.

    Published Sat, 24 Oct 2026, 12:30 BST · prices as recorded then

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    Atalanta vs Frosinone

    Serie A · Kick-off Sun, 25 Oct 2026, 14:00 GMT

    Atalanta to Win · 1.85 · est. EV -2.8% Lost

    Over 0.5 Goals · 1.25 Won

    Atalanta is priced at 1.85 with a relatively low negative EV of -2.8%. They score 1.75 goals per home game, which should be enough against 6th-placed Frosinone.

    Published Sat, 24 Oct 2026, 12:30 BST · prices as recorded then

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    Liverpool vs Brighton

    Premier League · Kick-off Sun, 25 Oct 2026, 14:00 GMT

    Liverpool to Win · 2.10 · est. EV -4.5% Won

    Over 0.5 Goals · 1.25 Won

    Liverpool are strong at Anfield and need to bounce back against Brighton. This match result meets the priority requirement for top English clubs with acceptable…

    Published Sat, 24 Oct 2026, 12:30 BST · prices as recorded then

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    Crystal Palace vs Newcastle

    Premier League · Kick-off Sun, 25 Oct 2026, 14:00 GMT

    Over 0.5 Goals · 1.25 · est. EV +10.1% Won

    Newcastle and Palace both concede over 2.4 goals per game, making a clean sheet highly unlikely. The 10.1% EV is excellent for this probability.

    Published Sat, 24 Oct 2026, 12:30 BST · prices as recorded then

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    Monaco vs Lille

    Ligue 1 · Kick-off Sun, 25 Oct 2026, 14:00 GMT

    Monaco to Win · 2.05 · est. EV -4.9% Lost

    Under 3.5 Goals · 1.40 Won

    Monaco faces a Lille side missing several players to injury. Despite a tight EV, Monaco's home form makes them favorites in this Ligue 1 clash.

    Published Sat, 24 Oct 2026, 12:30 BST · prices as recorded then

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    See Our Current Acca Selections

    Archived fixtures are historical records. This link shows Accawise's current selections.

    Pro Insights are AI-assisted analysis written automatically when an acca is published. Prices shown are those recorded at the time of publication and may no longer be available. Estimated EV is a model estimate, not a guarantee of returns. 18+ only. Please gamble responsibly. Accawise may earn commission from bookmaker sign-ups.